Finance · Open for opinions
Will the accumulated IPCA for 2026 be within the target established by the CMN?
Rising interest rates in the US, Japan, and Europe threaten Brazilian macroeconomic stability, putting pressure on the exchange rate… 38 opinions, 53% No
- Yes — 47%
- No — 53%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
Rising interest rates in the US, Japan, and Europe threaten Brazilian macroeconomic stability, putting pressure on the exchange rate and domestic prices, and risking compliance with the 2026 inflation target.
Source: economia.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no IPCA acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026, divulgado pelo IBGE em janeiro de 2027. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o índice ficar dentro do intervalo de tolerância da meta fixada pelo Conselho Monetário Nacional (CMN) para 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.