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Will Kalshi's total trading volume in 2026 exceed $300 billion?

By September 2026, Kalshi had already surpassed $200 billion in trading volume for the year, becoming the leader among prediction… 21 opinions, 52% No

  • Yes — 48%
  • No — 52%

Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

By September 2026, Kalshi had already surpassed $200 billion in trading volume for the year, becoming the leader among prediction market platforms in the US, ahead of Polymarket ($100 billion).

Source: www.theatlantic.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base em declaração oficial da Kalshi ou relatório auditado publicado pela empresa até 2027-01-31, indicando volume total de negociações acumulado em 2026. Se o volume declarado superar US$ 300 bilhões, resolve como 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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