Politics · Open for opinions
Will the US Congress pass specific federal legislation to regulate prediction market platforms (such as Kalshi and Polymarket) by March 2027?
Personal finance experts warn about the accelerated growth of prediction market platforms, and research indicates that 79% of users… 24 opinions, 88% No
- Yes — 13%
- No — 88%
Deadline: March 11, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 24 opinions
Resolution rules
Personal finance experts warn about the accelerated growth of prediction market platforms, and research indicates that 79% of users lose money, increasing the appeal for federal regulation.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução afirmativa se uma lei federal que regulamente explicitamente contratos de eventos em plataformas de mercados de previsão for aprovada por ambas as casas do Congresso e sancionada pelo Presidente dos EUA até 11 de março de 2027, conforme registro oficial do Congress.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 88% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 12 points, a wrong one costs about 88.