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Will the US and Canada resume formal trade negotiations before the US midterm elections (November 2026)?

Prime Minister Mark Carney's government sees little chance of resuming talks with Trump before the midterms after the collapse of… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Prime Minister Mark Carney's government sees little chance of resuming talks with Trump before the midterms after the collapse of trade negotiations. American tariffs remain in effect and Canada is preparing a domestic aid package.

Source: www.youtube.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Mercado resolve como 'Sim' se governos dos EUA e Canadá anunciarem oficialmente a retomada de negociações comerciais bilaterais formais antes do dia 4 de novembro de 2026, conforme comunicados oficiais de ambos os governos ou cobertura de agências como Reuters ou AP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the US and Canada resume formal trade negotiations before the… — 50% Yes · VoxFi