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Crypto · Open for opinions

Will the US government move more than 1,000 additional Bitcoins from its wallets by 10/31/2026?

Consider new on-chain BTC transfers by US authorities between 10/08 and 10/31. 79 opinions, 59% No

  • Yes — 41%
  • No — 59%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider new on-chain BTC transfers by US authorities between 10/08 and 10/31.

Source: livecoins.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 08/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se carteiras identificadas como pertencentes ao governo dos EUA transferirem cumulativamente 1.000 ou mais BTC adicionais para corretoras ou novos endereços até 31/10/2026, conforme dados on-chain validados por Arkham Intelligence, Livecoins ou CoinDesk. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.

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