Science · Open for opinions
Will the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) publish an official statement regarding OpenAI's solution to a Millennium Problem by October 31, 2026?
Following OpenAI's announcement regarding the resolution of a Millennium Prize Problem, the market assesses whether the organizing… 37 opinions, 76% No
- Yes — 24%
- No — 76%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 37 opinions
Resolution rules
Following OpenAI's announcement regarding the resolution of a Millennium Prize Problem, the market assesses whether the organizing entity will issue a statement in the short term (considering publications between 09/16 and 10/31).
Source: www.newscientist.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 16/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se o Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) publicar um comunicado, nota ou atualização oficial em seu site (claymath.org) reconhecendo ou avaliando diretamente a solução proposta pela OpenAI para um dos Problemas do Milênio até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, ou se a informação vier apenas da própria OpenAI sem confirmação oficial do CMI, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 76% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 24 points, a wrong one costs about 76.