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Will the Republican Party maintain control of both chambers of the U.S. Congress in the November 2026 midterm elections?

The November 2026 elections will determine whether Republicans retain bicameral control of Congress. 74 opinions, 51% Yes

  • Yes — 51%
  • No — 49%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 74 opinions

Resolution rules

The November 2026 elections will determine whether Republicans retain bicameral control of Congress. Weaker economic data and conflict between Trump and the Fed dominate the pre-election debate.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base nos resultados oficiais das eleições de meio de mandato dos EUA em novembro de 2026, conforme apuração divulgada pela Associated Press ou pelo Architect of the Capitol. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se republicanos ficarem com maioria tanto na Câmara quanto no Senado.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.

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