Finance · Open for opinions
Will the gross general government debt exceed 83% of GDP by December 2026?
In June 2026, the gross general government debt reached R$ 10.8 trillion, equivalent to 81.9% of GDP, according to the Central Bank. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In June 2026, the gross general government debt reached R$ 10.8 trillion, equivalent to 81.9% of GDP, according to the Central Bank. Analysts discuss the risk of an upward trajectory of debt in the second half of the year.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer nota oficial divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil indicar que a dívida bruta do governo geral atingiu ou superou 83% do PIB em algum mês até dezembro de 2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário, com base nos mesmos relatórios oficiais do Banco Central.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.