Finance · Open for opinions
Which platform will have higher monthly volume in October 2026: Kalshi or Polymarket?
In August 2026, Kalshi held 82% of combined volume versus 18% for Polymarket. 21 opinions, 33% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 33%
- Polymarket — 33%
- Technical tie (difference ≤ 5%) — 33%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, Kalshi held 82% of combined volume versus 18% for Polymarket. In comparison, historical data from 2025 showed Polymarket as the leader. The battle for sector dominance is a central theme in the prediction market segment.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base nos dados mensais de volume publicados pelo DeFi Rate (defirate.com/prediction-markets/volume) ou fonte equivalente para outubro de 2026. A opção vencedora é aquela com maior volume total registrado no mês; se a diferença for igual ou inferior a 5% do volume total combinado, resolve como 'Empate técnico'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.