Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA keep the El Niño alert active in its official update until 10/31/2026?
Consider the update of the NOAA climate bulletin between 10/13/2026 and 10/31/2026 following warming records in the Pacific. 79 opinions, 59% Yes
- Yes — 59%
- No — 41%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the update of the NOAA climate bulletin between 10/13/2026 and 10/31/2026 following warming records in the Pacific.
Source: www.newscientist.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 13/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a NOAA mantiver oficialmente o status de 'El Niño Advisory' ativo em sua atualização do boletim 'ENSO Diagnostic Discussion' publicada até 31/10/2026 no site oficial cpc.ncep.noaa.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.