Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's gross debt exceed 83% of GDP in October 2026?
In September 2026, Brazil's gross debt remained at 82.9% of GDP, the highest level since 2021, according to Central Bank data. 87 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, Brazil's gross debt remained at 82.9% of GDP, the highest level since 2021, according to Central Bank data. The upward trajectory raises questions about whether the indicator will break the 83% barrier as early as October.
Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Banco Central do Brasil divulgar, na Nota de Política Fiscal referente a outubro de 2026 (publicada em novembro), que a dívida bruta do setor público consolidado superou 83% do PIB. Fonte oficial: Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.