Finance · Open for opinions
Will the commercial dollar selling PTAX rate close below R$ 4.94 by 10/31/2026?
Consider PTAX quotes between 10/05 and 10/31 given banks' projections for the currency following the elections. 76 opinions, 91% No
- Yes — 9%
- No — 91%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider PTAX quotes between 10/05 and 10/31 given banks' projections for the currency following the elections.
Source: exame.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 05/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a cotação oficial de fechamento da taxa PTAX de venda do dólar for inferior a R$ 4,9400 em qualquer dia útil até 31/10/2026, conforme dados do Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 91% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 9 points, a wrong one costs about 91.