Politics · Open for opinions
Will the cumulative volume of US midterm election-related markets exceed $1 billion on Kalshi and Polymarket before Election Day?
As of August 2026, the total volume of the 1,408 midterm markets open on Kalshi and Polymarket had already surpassed $197 million,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
As of August 2026, the total volume of the 1,408 midterm markets open on Kalshi and Polymarket had already surpassed $197 million, while the World Cup winner market reached about $5 billion alone, indicating enormous growth potential by November.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a soma do volume negociado em mercados de midterms no Kalshi e no Polymarket superar US$ 1 bilhão até 2026-11-03, conforme dados públicos das plataformas ou relatório de analista especializado (ex.: Manifold Markets Research, Metaculus digest). Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.