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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Tesouro Direto offer an IPCA+ bond with an annual rate equal to or greater than 7.00% by October 31, 2026?

Considers official Tesouro Direto quotes between 10/19 and 10/31/2026 amid real interest rate volatility. 81 opinions, 56% No

  • Yes — 44%
  • No — 56%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

Considers official Tesouro Direto quotes between 10/19 and 10/31/2026 amid real interest rate volatility.

Source: einvestidor.estadao.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 19/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a taxa anual de remuneração de qualquer título do Tesouro IPCA+ atingir ou superar 7,00% a.a. na tabela oficial de preços e taxas do portal do Tesouro Direto (tesourodireto.com.br) até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.

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