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Will US annual inflation exceed 4% by December 2026?

The Guardian reported in October 2026 that annual US inflation reached 3.7%, creating political pressure on the Trump administration… 81 opinions, 68% No

  • Yes — 32%
  • No — 68%

Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

The Guardian reported in October 2026 that annual US inflation reached 3.7%, creating political pressure on the Trump administration ahead of the mid-term elections.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o índice de inflação CPI (Consumer Price Index) anual dos EUA, divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), registrar variação acima de 4,0% em qualquer leitura mensal com referência até dezembro de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.

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Will US annual inflation exceed 4% by December 2026? — 68% No · VoxFi