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Will the African Union announce a ceasefire agreement between Ethiopia and Eritrea by November 30, 2026?

Considers an official announcement of a mediated ceasefire between the countries between 10/10 and 11/30. 79 opinions, 65% No

  • Yes — 35%
  • No — 65%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Considers an official announcement of a mediated ceasefire between the countries between 10/10 and 11/30.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 10/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a União Africana ou a ONU anunciar formalmente a assinatura de um acordo de cessar-fogo ou trégua bilateral entre os governos da Etiópia e da Eritreia até 30/11/2026, com confirmação oficial das partes ou reportado por Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.

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Will the African Union announce a ceasefire agreement between… — 65% No · VoxFi