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Finance · Open for opinions

What will Brazil's annual GDP growth be in 2026, according to IBGE's release?

J.P. 31 opinions, 48% Between 2% and 2.9%

  • Below 1% — 10%
  • Between 1% and 1.9% — 26%
  • Between 2% and 2.9% — 48%
  • 3% or more — 16%

Deadline: March 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 31 opinions

Resolution rules

J.P. Morgan economist projects 2% growth for 2026 in the base case; risk of a slowdown to 1.3% in 2027 if the political and fiscal environment worsens.

Source: www.broadcast.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na taxa de crescimento anual do PIB de 2026 publicada oficialmente pelo IBGE (Sistema de Contas Nacionais Trimestrais ou Anuais). A faixa em que o número divulgado se enquadrar será a opção vencedora.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Between 2% and 2.9% has 48% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 52 points, a wrong one costs about 48.

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What will Brazil's annual GDP growth be in 2026, according to IBGE's… — 48% Between 2% and 2.9% · VoxFi