Science · Open for opinions
Will Brazil record fewer wildfire hotspots in October than in September by October 31, 2026?
Consider INPE monitoring data between 10/11 and 10/31 with the return of rains over the Midwest and North. 80 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 80 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider INPE monitoring data between 10/11 and 10/31 with the return of rains over the Midwest and North.
Source: www.climatempo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 11/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o total mensal de focos de queimadas no Brasil em outubro de 2026 for inferior ao total consolidado de setembro de 2026, conforme dados do Programa Queimadas do INPE consolidados até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.