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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the Democratic Party maintain odds above 60% on Polymarket for the next U.S. presidential election until November 30, 2026?

On Polymarket, the Democratic Party appears with 72% probability and a market volume of around US$163,000 in the U.S. 23 opinions, 57% No

  • Yes — 43%
  • No — 57%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions

Resolution rules

On Polymarket, the Democratic Party appears with 72% probability and a market volume of around US$163,000 in the U.S. presidential election political market, reflecting real-time betting dynamics.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se, em qualquer snapshot público do Polymarket (polymarket.com) registrado até 30/11/2026, o Partido Democrata apresentar odds iguais ou superiores a 60% no mercado de eleição presidencial americana. Fonte: interface pública do Polymarket.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.

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Will the Democratic Party maintain odds above 60% on Polymarket for… — 57% No · VoxFi