Science · Open for opinions
Will the official maximum temperature in the Midwest reach 40°C or higher in the second half of October 2026?
Consider official thermal records between 10/16 and 10/31 following the forecast of extreme heat returning to the region. 76 opinions, 64% Yes
- Yes — 64%
- No — 36%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official thermal records between 10/16 and 10/31 following the forecast of extreme heat returning to the region.
Source: tmc.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 03/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos uma estação meteorológica oficial do INMET no Centro-Oeste registrar temperatura máxima igual ou superior a 40,0°C entre 16/10/2026 e 31/10/2026, conforme dados do INMET. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.