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Science · Open for opinions

Will any municipality in the South Region record accumulated rainfall of 500 mm or more in October 2026?

Consider data from official weather stations between 10/02 and 10/31 following an extreme accumulation alert in the South. 74 opinions, 59% Yes

  • Yes — 59%
  • No — 41%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 74 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider data from official weather stations between 10/02 and 10/31 following an extreme accumulation alert in the South.

Source: metsul.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 02/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos uma estação meteorológica oficial do INMET ou do CEMADEN na Região Sul (RS, SC ou PR) registrar acumulado total de chuva igual ou superior a 500 mm no mês até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.

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