World · Open for opinions
Will US PCE inflation (the Fed's preferred gauge) fall below 3% per year by December 2026?
US PCE declined to 3.4% in August 2026, below expectations, but still far from the Fed's 2% target. 73 opinions, 64% No
- Yes — 36%
- No — 64%
Deadline: December 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 73 opinions
Resolution rules
US PCE declined to 3.4% in August 2026, below expectations, but still far from the Fed's 2% target. The downward trajectory remains uncertain in the face of heated consumer spending and persistent price pressures.
Source: www.myhighplains.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a leitura oficial do índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) referente a novembro de 2026, divulgada pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) em dezembro de 2026, mostrar variação anual inferior a 3,0%. Fonte: bea.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.