World · Open for opinions
Will US annual inflation (CPI) fall below 3% by December 31, 2026?
US inflation stands at 3.4% per year in September 2026, above the Fed's 2% target, driven by energy shocks and supply chain… 70 opinions, 79% No
- Yes — 21%
- No — 79%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
US inflation stands at 3.4% per year in September 2026, above the Fed's 2% target, driven by energy shocks and supply chain disruptions linked to Trump administration tariffs.
Source: thefulcrum.us
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no índice CPI (Consumer Price Index) divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA referente a dezembro de 2026. Se a variação anual for inferior a 3,0%, resolve 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 79% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 21 points, a wrong one costs about 79.