World · Open for opinions
Will US inflation (annual CPI) reach 4% or more in any month until December 2026?
US inflation rose from 3.4% in August to 3.7% in September 2026, driven by the conflict in Iran and demand for AI infrastructure. 81 opinions, 72% No
- Yes — 28%
- No — 72%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
US inflation rose from 3.4% in August to 3.7% in September 2026, driven by the conflict in Iran and demand for AI infrastructure. The upward trend increases the likelihood that the index will cross the 4% mark in the coming months.
Source: www.courthousenews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base nos relatórios mensais do CPI divulgados pelo U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) para os meses de outubro, novembro e dezembro de 2026. Se qualquer um desses relatórios mostrar variação anual do CPI igual ou superior a 4,0%, resolve 'Sim'. Se nenhum atingir esse patamar, resolve 'Não' após a divulgação do CPI de dezembro (prevista para janeiro de 2027).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.