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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazil's GDP growth in 2026 be above 1.5%?

The Central Bank estimates 1.8% growth and the Ministry of Finance 2% for GDP in 2026. 75 opinions, 67% Yes

  • Yes — 67%
  • No — 33%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 75 opinions

Resolution rules

The Central Bank estimates 1.8% growth and the Ministry of Finance 2% for GDP in 2026. Analysts warn that fiscal challenges could drop this figure to just over 1% in 2027, raising doubts about performance as early as 2026.

Source: neofeed.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base na divulgação oficial do IBGE da variação anual do PIB do Brasil em 2026 (dados anuais preliminares ou revisados). Resolve 'Sim' se o crescimento anual apurado for superior a 1,5%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 67% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 33 points, a wrong one costs about 67.

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Will Brazil's GDP growth in 2026 be above 1.5%? — 67% Yes · VoxFi