Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the Clarity Act be signed into law by the US President by 12/31/2026?
Trump approved new ethics provisions for the Clarity Act. 33 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 33 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump approved new ethics provisions for the Clarity Act. Polymarket prices a 30% chance of approval in 2026 (up from 14% at the start of the month), while Kalshi marked 53% for before 10/1, indicating growing but still uncertain optimism.
Source: fortune.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada na assinatura presidencial oficial da Clarity Act, conforme registrado no Federal Register ou comunicado oficial da Casa Branca. Resolve 'Sim' se o projeto se tornar lei até 31/12/2026; resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.