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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Nov 5, 2026 be above 7.16%?

If the average U.S. 87 opinions, 62% Yes

  • Yes — 62%
  • No — 38%

Deadline: November 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Nov 5, 2026 is above

7.16%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Nov 5,… — 62% Yes · VoxFi