World · Open for opinions
Will the US federal government enter a shutdown in the first six months of 2027?
After Democrats win control of both chambers of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections, a divided government between a Democratic… 89 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: July 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
After Democrats win control of both chambers of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections, a divided government between a Democratic legislature and a Republican executive raises the risk of budget impasses and federal shutdowns starting in January 2027.
Source: www.cushmanwakefield.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo federal dos EUA encerrar suas operações parcialmente por falta de aprovação orçamentária (shutdown oficial) em qualquer momento entre 20 de janeiro de 2027 e 20 de julho de 2027, conforme declaração oficial do Office of Management and Budget (OMB) ou cobertura confirmada por Reuters/AP. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.