World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged at the October/November 2026 meeting?
Markets price in a 90% chance of a pause in the hiking cycle, even after September inflation data showed a CPI of 3.7% per year—up… 87 opinions, 90% Yes
- Yes — 90%
- No — 10%
Deadline: November 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
Markets price in a 90% chance of a pause in the hiking cycle, even after September inflation data showed a CPI of 3.7% per year—up from 3.4% in August. The meeting takes place days before the US midterm elections (November 3).
Source: www.wokv.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar manutenção da taxa dos fed funds na faixa atual (3,75%–4,0%) ao final da reunião de outubro/novembro de 2026. Fonte oficial: comunicado do Federal Reserve em federalreserve.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 90% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 10 points, a wrong one costs about 90.