Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation imposing stricter regulatory restrictions on prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi and Polymarket face increasing scrutiny after the combined volume of the two platforms jumped from less than $5 billion to… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket face increasing scrutiny after the combined volume of the two platforms jumped from less than $5 billion to about $24 billion in less than a year, generating public and legislative debate about the need for regulatory oversight.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se uma lei federal dos EUA com novas restrições regulatórias explícitas sobre plataformas de mercados de previsão for aprovada pelo Congresso e sancionada pelo presidente até 31/12/2026, conforme registro oficial do Congresso (congress.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.