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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazilian exports (FOB) in the 4th quarter of 2026 exceed the total recorded in the same period of 2025?

The federal government allocated R$ 6.49 billion via Provisional Measure No. 87 opinions, 66% Yes

  • Yes — 66%
  • No — 34%

Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

The federal government allocated R$ 6.49 billion via Provisional Measure No. 1,397 to finance exporters through the Sovereign Brazil Plan, a measure aimed at strengthening the export sector in the face of international surcharges.

Source: agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o somatório das exportações brasileiras FOB (outubro + novembro + dezembro de 2026), conforme dados oficiais do MDIC/Secex disponíveis em comexstat.mdic.gov.br, superar o somatório do mesmo período (out-dez) de 2025. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.

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Will Brazilian exports (FOB) in the 4th quarter of 2026 exceed the… — 66% Yes · VoxFi