Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed US$ 100 billion by the end of 2026?
Kalshi and Polymarket have already accumulated about US$ 50 billion in volume, with 500x growth in two years according to recent… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket have already accumulated about US$ 50 billion in volume, with 500x growth in two years according to recent 2026 data.
Source: www.linkedin.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se dados públicos divulgados pelas próprias plataformas ou reportagens verificadas de veículos financeiros reconhecidos (Bloomberg, Reuters, Financial Times) confirmarem volume combinado igual ou superior a US$ 100 bilhões acumulado em 2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.