Finance · Open for opinions
Will the accumulated IPCA for 2026 close above 4.5% (the target ceiling)?
The Central Bank's Focus report already projects inflation above 5% for 2026, exceeding the 4.5% target ceiling estimated by the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Central Bank's Focus report already projects inflation above 5% for 2026, exceeding the 4.5% target ceiling estimated by the government.
Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o IPCA acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026, divulgado pelo IBGE em janeiro de 2027, superar 4,5%. Fonte oficial: IBGE (sidra.ibge.gov.br).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.