Science · Open for opinions
Will the Mirante de Santana station (SP) record more than 150 mm of accumulated rainfall by 10/31/2026?
Consider the accumulated rainfall in São Paulo until 10/31 given the early onset of the rainy season influenced by El Niño. 81 opinions, 56% Yes
- Yes — 56%
- No — 44%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the accumulated rainfall in São Paulo until 10/31 given the early onset of the rainy season influenced by El Niño.
Source: metsul.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 15/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o acumulado mensal de precipitação na estação do Mirante de Santana (SP) superar 150 mm até 31/10/2026, conforme dados oficiais divulgados pelo Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.