Science · Open for opinions
Will ESA or the European Commission announce a new call for tenders for sovereign space launchers by October 31, 2026?
Consider official announcements regarding space independence and launchers in Europe between 09/21 and 10/31/2026. 58 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 58 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official announcements regarding space independence and launchers in Europe between 09/21 and 10/31/2026.
Source: www.nature.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 21/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se a Agência Espacial Europeia (ESA) ou a Comissão Europeia divulgar oficialmente novo contrato ou edital para lançadores espaciais europeus soberanos até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado no portal oficial da ESA (esa.int) ou da Comissão Europeia. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.