World · Open for opinions
Will US inflation (annual CPI) fall below 3% by December 2026?
In June 2026, the Fed recorded the highest inflation in 3 years in the US. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 5, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In June 2026, the Fed recorded the highest inflation in 3 years in the US. An ongoing armed conflict is putting pressure on energy prices, making it difficult for inflation to return to target.
Source: abcnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divulgar CPI anual abaixo de 3,0% em qualquer leitura referente a outubro ou novembro de 2026, publicada até 31/12/2026. Fonte: bls.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.