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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the euro reach parity with the dollar (EUR/USD rate ≤ 1.00) by March 31, 2027?

On 10/12/2026, the euro accumulated losses pressured by concerns over France's public finances and political uncertainties ahead of… 78 opinions, 74% No

  • Yes — 26%
  • No — 74%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

On 10/12/2026, the euro accumulated losses pressured by concerns over France's public finances and political uncertainties ahead of the 2027 presidential elections, while the dollar traded near an 18-month high.

Source: live.euronext.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução 'Sim' se a taxa de câmbio EUR/USD atingir ou ficar abaixo de 1,0000 em qualquer dia útil até 31/03/2027, conforme dados do Banco Central Europeu (ecb.europa.eu) ou Bloomberg FX. Caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 74% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 26 points, a wrong one costs about 74.

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