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Will Trump administration tariffs generate more than $1 trillion in revenue by the end of 2026?
The Trump administration claims its tariffs will generate $1.35 trillion in revenue, but experts question the viability of this… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Trump administration claims its tariffs will generate $1.35 trillion in revenue, but experts question the viability of this projection, as optimal tariff revenue would imply a reduction in imports.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Departamento do Tesouro dos EUA ou o Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reportarem arrecadação acumulada de tarifas superior a US$ 1 trilhão no ano fiscal de 2026. Fonte: treasury.gov ou cbo.gov. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.