World · Open for opinions
Will a Russian invasion of NATO territory be confirmed between 09/22 and 10/31/2026?
Geopolitical tensions and military exercises in Eastern Europe keep the risk of escalation on the agenda. 58 opinions, 91% No
- Yes — 9%
- No — 91%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 58 opinions
Resolution rules
Geopolitical tensions and military exercises in Eastern Europe keep the risk of escalation on the agenda.
Source: previsao.io
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 22/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se forças militares da Rússia realizarem incursão armada em território soberano de qualquer membro da OTAN até 31/10/2026, com confirmação oficial da OTAN (nato.int) ou agências Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 91% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 9 points, a wrong one costs about 91.