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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the opposition have enough votes (54+) in the Senate to approve the removal of a Supreme Federal Court justice in 2027?

Analyses indicate that the opposition may control a simple majority in the Senate in 2027, but will hardly reach the 54 votes… 25 opinions, 52% Yes

  • Yes — 52%
  • No — 48%

Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions

Resolution rules

Analyses indicate that the opposition may control a simple majority in the Senate in 2027, but will hardly reach the 54 votes (two-thirds) constitutionally required to remove a Supreme Federal Court justice.

Source: www.poder360.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se partidos de oposição (PL e aliados) somarem 54 ou mais cadeiras no Senado Federal após a composição definitiva da nova legislatura, verificada no portal do Senado Federal (senado.leg.br) até dezembro de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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