Finance · Open for opinions
Will other US states issue cease-and-desist orders against prediction market platforms (beyond Missouri) by March 2027?
Following Missouri's action, analysts are evaluating whether other states will follow the same path. 44 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: March 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 44 opinions
Resolution rules
Following Missouri's action, analysts are evaluating whether other states will follow the same path. The tension between state regulators and federally recognized platforms like Kalshi creates a precedent that could be replicated.
Source: hanfordsentinel.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se pelo menos um estado americano diferente do Missouri emitir oficialmente ordem de cease and desist ou equivalente contra Kalshi, Polymarket ou outra plataforma de mercado de previsão até 15/03/2027, conforme notícia confirmada por fonte oficial governamental ou veículo jornalístico de referência nacional (Reuters, AP, Bloomberg). Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.