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Will the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) record a decrease compared to the previous month in the October 2026 data?

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said he is 'open to the possibility that inflation will recede in the short term,' although he… 50 opinions, 72% No

  • Yes — 28%
  • No — 72%

Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 50 opinions

Resolution rules

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said he is 'open to the possibility that inflation will recede in the short term,' although he acknowledges that prices may remain elevated due to the Iran War.

Source: thehill.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na variação mensal do CPI (All Items) de outubro de 2026, divulgada pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) em bls.gov. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a variação mensal for negativa (deflação mensal).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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Will the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) record a decrease compared to… — 72% No · VoxFi