World · Open for opinions
Will the UK FCA authorize the operation of Kalshi or Polymarket by November 30, 2026?
Considers formal regulatory decisions between 10/08 and 11/30 regarding the platforms' entry into the United Kingdom. 79 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers formal regulatory decisions between 10/08 and 11/30 regarding the platforms' entry into the United Kingdom.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 08/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) conceder autorização para operação de varejo da Kalshi ou Polymarket no Reino Unido até 30/11/2026, conforme publicado em fca.org.uk ou reportado por Reuters ou Bloomberg. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.