World · Open for opinions
Will the war involving Iran result in a price increase of more than 20% for Brent crude oil by December 31, 2026, compared to the September 2026 level?
The war with Iran is putting upward pressure on energy prices and contributing to inflation in the US. 38 opinions, 71% No
- Yes — 29%
- No — 71%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
The war with Iran is putting upward pressure on energy prices and contributing to inflation in the US. The Fed explicitly cited the conflict's energy shock as a factor for maintaining a hawkish stance.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o preço do petróleo Brent (cotação spot) registrar em qualquer sessão até 2026-12-31 um valor 20% acima do fechamento de 2026-09-18, conforme dados da EIA (eia.gov) ou Bloomberg. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.