World · Open for opinions
Will there be at least 2 dissenting votes in favor of a rate hike at the November 2026 FOMC meeting?
An analysis published on October 27, 2026 projects that at least two regional Fed bank presidents are expected to dissent in favor… 87 opinions, 78% Yes
- Yes — 78%
- No — 22%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
An analysis published on October 27, 2026 projects that at least two regional Fed bank presidents are expected to dissent in favor of a 25 or 50 basis point hike, given poor September consumer and producer inflation data.
Source: realeconomy.rsmus.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada nas atas ou comunicado oficial do FOMC publicados após a reunião. Fonte: federalreserve.gov. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se pelo menos dois presidentes de bancos regionais registrarem voto a favor de alta de juros na decisão de novembro de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.