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Will the IMF downgrade its global growth projection for 2027 in the January 2027 World Economic Outlook update?

In October 2026, the IMF released the WEO titled 'Resilience Under Strain, Urgent Choices', suggesting mounting pressures on the… 79 opinions, 62% Yes

  • Yes — 62%
  • No — 38%

Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

In October 2026, the IMF released the WEO titled 'Resilience Under Strain, Urgent Choices', suggesting mounting pressures on the global economy and urgent choices for governments and central banks.

Source: www.imf.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se a atualização do WEO de janeiro de 2027 (publicada em imf.org) apresentar projeção de crescimento global para 2027 inferior à projeção publicada no WEO de outubro de 2026. Resolve 'Não' se a projeção for mantida ou elevada.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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