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Will the IMF project a global recession (negative global GDP growth) in its October 2026 World Economic Outlook?

The IMF warned in September 2026 that the war in Iran could push the global economy to the brink of a recession for the fifth time… 63 opinions, 73% No

  • Yes — 27%
  • No — 73%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 63 opinions

Resolution rules

The IMF warned in September 2026 that the war in Iran could push the global economy to the brink of a recession for the fifth time since 1980.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o relatório World Economic Outlook (WEO) do FMI publicado em outubro de 2026 projetar crescimento do PIB global igual ou inferior a 0% para 2026 ou 2027. Fonte oficial: imf.org/en/Publications/WEO.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 73% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 27 points, a wrong one costs about 73.

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