World · Open for opinions
Will there be a formal ceasefire agreement or cessation of hostilities between the US and Iran by December 31, 2026?
The conflict between the US and Iran continues in August 2026, putting pressure on oil prices, raising inflation, and influencing… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The conflict between the US and Iran continues in August 2026, putting pressure on oil prices, raising inflation, and influencing expectations for the American midterm elections.
Source: www.investing.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo dos EUA e o governo do Irã anunciarem formalmente um cessar-fogo, armistício ou encerramento oficial das hostilidades até 31/12/2026, confirmado por fontes oficiais (Casa Branca, Departamento de Estado ou ONU). Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.