Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC issue an official sanction against Kalshi or Polymarket for wash trading by November 30, 2026?
Consider punitive actions by the CFTC between 10/07 and 11/30 amid increased scrutiny over Ether contracts. 76 opinions, 75% No
- Yes — 25%
- No — 75%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider punitive actions by the CFTC between 10/07 and 11/30 amid increased scrutiny over Ether contracts.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 07/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar aplicação de penalidade, multa ou ação de execução contra Kalshi ou Polymarket até 30/11/2026, conforme comunicado oficial em cftc.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.