Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish new rules or formal guidance on 'mention markets' by December 31, 2026?
In July 2026, the CFTC initiated an internal review of 'mention markets' — prediction markets that bet on quotes from personalities… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In July 2026, the CFTC initiated an internal review of 'mention markets' — prediction markets that bet on quotes from personalities or media events — as the combined volume of platforms exceeded $50 billion monthly and regulatory criticism intensified.
Source: www.investing.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) publicar no Federal Register ou em seu site oficial regras finais, orientações ou avisos formais direcionados especificamente a 'mention markets' até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso apenas revisões internas ou consultas preliminares sejam divulgadas.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.